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11 May 2025 · 11:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Akron
28.0%
Draw
29.6%
Akhmat Grozny

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Akron

vs
1.24

Akhmat Grozny

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).