Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.9%
Spartak Moskva
14.1%
Draw
8.0%
Khimki
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.95
Khimki
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
5-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
5-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).