Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Inverness C
31.2%
Draw
26.1%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Inverness C
vs
1.03
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).