Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
East Kilbride
22.5%
Draw
25.7%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
East Kilbride
vs
1.63
Elgin
Markets
BTTS73.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).