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AHT: 11CSV

04 Jun 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Vallecano
24.9%
Draw
31.9%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Vallecano

vs
1.27

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).