Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Ascoli
33.7%
Draw
26.5%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Ascoli
vs
0.85
Livorno
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).