Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.2%
Hansa Rostock
24.2%
Draw
62.6%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Hansa Rostock
vs
1.82
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).