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DHT: 00CSV

06 Apr 2019

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Dag and Red
31.8%
Draw
30.2%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Dag and Red

vs
0.99

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Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).