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AHT: 01CSV

11 Nov 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Laval
26.9%
Draw
34.8%
Concarneau

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Laval

vs
1.07

Concarneau

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).