Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Dundee
22.2%
Draw
23.2%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Dundee
vs
1.29
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).