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16 Mar 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
Club Brugge
19.9%
Draw
18.9%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Club Brugge

vs
1.23

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
3.4%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).