Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Crawley Town
26.2%
Draw
39.5%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Crawley Town
vs
1.28
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).