Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Vicenza
29.6%
Draw
19.8%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Vicenza
vs
0.80
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).