Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Accrington
17.1%
Draw
15.0%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Accrington
vs
1.07
Swindon
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).