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14 Sept 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Bodrum FK
33.4%
Draw
51.2%
İstanbul Başakşehir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Bodrum FK

vs
1.41

İstanbul Başakşehir

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
14.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).