Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Crawley Town
24.9%
Draw
35.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Crawley Town
vs
1.21
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).