Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Charlton
24.4%
Draw
33.8%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Charlton
vs
1.20
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).