Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Bologna
19.6%
Draw
15.2%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Bologna
vs
0.89
Benevento
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).