Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Dunfermline
30.2%
Draw
21.9%
Queens Park
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Dunfermline
vs
0.94
Queens Park
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).