Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Millwall
27.5%
Draw
34.0%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Millwall
vs
1.31
Southampton
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).