Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Vizela
22.4%
Draw
37.1%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Vizela
vs
1.58
Arouca
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).