Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Almeria
25.7%
Draw
31.0%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Almeria
vs
1.28
Valencia
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).