Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Crawley Town
22.3%
Draw
28.0%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Crawley Town
vs
1.18
Northampton
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).