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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Zenit

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.3%
CSKA Moskva
34.0%
Draw
41.7%
Zenit

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

CSKA Moskva

vs
1.13

Zenit

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.0%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).