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13 Sept 2025 · 16:00

Nantes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Nice
23.4%
Draw
21.4%
Nantes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Nice

vs
0.95

Nantes

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).