Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Cesena
30.0%
Draw
34.0%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Cesena
vs
1.20
Trapani
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).