Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Ipswich
13.4%
Draw
5.2%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Ipswich
vs
0.59
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).