Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Estrela
18.1%
Draw
68.4%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Estrela
vs
2.17
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).