Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Nacional
18.1%
Draw
74.6%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Nacional
vs
2.16
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.7%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
0-5
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).