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AHT: 11

05 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dender

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
La Louvière
32.2%
Draw
26.3%
Dender

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

La Louvière

vs
0.81

Dender

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.7%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).