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30 Aug 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.3%
Tadley Calleva
16.0%
Draw
36.7%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

3.32

Tadley Calleva

vs
2.97

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS91.4%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.598.6%
Over 2.595.0%
Over 3.587.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-2
5.0%
3-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
4-2
4.1%
4-3
4.1%
3-4
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
2-4
3.3%
4-4
3.0%
2-1
3.0%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).