Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Catanzaro
24.8%
Draw
18.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Catanzaro
vs
0.98
Spezia
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).