Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Zürich
28.9%
Draw
44.5%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Zürich
vs
1.60
Lugano
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).