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26 Sept 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.1%
Draw
20.2%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
0.87

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).