Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Olympiakos
33.7%
Draw
21.0%
AEK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Olympiakos
vs
0.69
AEK
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.3%
1-0
17.2%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).