Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Morton
28.0%
Draw
53.7%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Morton
vs
1.66
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).