Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Lille
23.4%
Draw
34.1%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Lille
vs
1.43
Rennes
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).