Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Manchester City
17.5%
Draw
22.0%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Manchester City
vs
1.57
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS73.2%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.9%
Over 3.560.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
3-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
4-2
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).