Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Lens
27.8%
Draw
28.7%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Lens
vs
0.88
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).