Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Sassuolo
28.7%
Draw
36.7%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Sassuolo
vs
1.12
Lazio
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).