Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Tottenham
24.7%
Draw
50.1%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Tottenham
vs
1.95
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).