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AHT: 11CSV

16 Feb 2020 · 12:00

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.0%
Aberdeen
22.9%
Draw
59.1%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Aberdeen

vs
1.96

Celtic

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.2%
0-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).