Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Lokomotiv Moskva
22.7%
Draw
27.4%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
1.57
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS71.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
0-0
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).