Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.6%
Sp Lisbon
5.4%
Draw
1.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.44
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.6%
4-0
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
5-0
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
4.0%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
1.6%
3-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).