Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Palermo
23.1%
Draw
13.7%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Palermo
vs
0.80
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).