Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Sassuolo
25.4%
Draw
53.0%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Sassuolo
vs
1.53
Roma
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).