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AHT: 12CSV

28 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.3%
Annan Athletic
24.1%
Draw
54.6%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Annan Athletic

vs
1.85

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).