Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Mallorca
25.7%
Draw
19.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Mallorca
vs
0.86
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).