Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Sociedad
21.5%
Draw
12.2%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Sociedad
vs
0.67
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).