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04 Oct 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Le Mans
21.8%
Draw
18.2%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Le Mans

vs
0.80

Chambly

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).